The scenarios no one will put in a deck

Why analysts imagine extreme scenarios but don't say them—and what AI changes about that

Jan 22 • Joseph Lavoie

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Rupture, not a transition

And not a doctrine. Something rarer

Jan 21 • Joseph Lavoie

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The Predecision

A stutter step for decisions that feel ready but shouldn't be locked in yet

Jan 16 • Joseph Lavoie

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The missing layer in institutional decision-making

Your risk memos aren't working. Here's the layer you're missing

Jan 8 • Joseph Lavoie

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October 2025

On Hiatus

I'll see you in 2026, at least here on Substack

Oct 7, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

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September 2025

The politics of the Octagon

What UFC's legalization battle teaches every league about winning in politics

Sep 29, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

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Coalition in a Day

How to assemble just enough credible partners to move a regulator now

Sep 18, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

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The 1-Hour Message House

Plus, the missing step that makes your Message House campaign-ready

Sep 7, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

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Craft Politics is back!

Season two launches today with a new co-host, and a dedicated Substack.

Sep 2, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

August 2025

Calculate the Yes Math

A one-hour method to turn fuzzy regulatory goals into counted commitments

Aug 31, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

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How to know if your campaign is set up to win

Seven simple questions that force clarity before the scramble begins

Aug 23, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

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The Arena Map

A systems approach to regulatory strategy

Aug 14, 2025 • Joseph Lavoie

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